Swap Pricing Formulas

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SUMMARY

Swap pricing formulas are mathematical models used to determine the fair value of swap contracts. These formulas typically involve discounting expected future cash flows and considering factors like interest rates, exchange rates, and credit risk to establish equilibrium prices where the initial value of the swap is zero for both parties.

Core principles of swap pricing

The fundamental principle of swap pricing is that at initiation, the present value of all expected future cash flows should be equal for both parties. This creates a "zero-sum" starting point where neither party has an immediate advantage.

For an interest rate swap, the basic pricing formula is:

PVFixed=PVFloatingPV_{Fixed} = PV_{Floating}

Where:

  • PVFixedPV_{Fixed} represents the present value of fixed-rate payments
  • PVFloatingPV_{Floating} represents the present value of expected floating-rate payments

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Fixed leg valuation

The fixed leg of a swap consists of predetermined payments and can be valued using the following formula:

PVFixed=Ni=1nRτi(1+ri)tiPV_{Fixed} = N \sum_{i=1}^{n} \frac{R \cdot \tau_i}{(1 + r_i)^{t_i}}

Where:

  • NN is the notional amount
  • RR is the fixed rate
  • τi\tau_i is the day count fraction
  • rir_i is the discount rate for period ii
  • tit_i is the time to payment ii

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Floating leg valuation

The floating leg involves payments based on future rates that are not yet known. The standard approach uses forward rates implied by the yield curve:

PVFloating=Ni=1nFiτi(1+ri)tiPV_{Floating} = N \sum_{i=1}^{n} \frac{F_i \cdot \tau_i}{(1 + r_i)^{t_i}}

Where:

  • FiF_i is the forward rate for period ii
  • Other variables are as defined above

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Forward rate determination

Forward rates are calculated using the relationship between spot rates of different maturities:

Ft,T=1Δt[(1+rTT1+rtt)1]F_{t,T} = \frac{1}{\Delta t} \left[\left(\frac{1 + r_T \cdot T}{1 + r_t \cdot t}\right) - 1\right]

Where:

  • Ft,TF_{t,T} is the forward rate between times tt and TT
  • rTr_T and rtr_t are spot rates for maturities TT and tt
  • Δt\Delta t is the time period (Tt)(T-t)

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QuestDB is an open-source time-series database optimized for market and heavy industry data. Built from scratch in Java and C++, it offers high-throughput ingestion and fast SQL queries with time-series extensions.

Cross-currency swap pricing

Cross-asset correlation plays a crucial role in pricing cross-currency swaps. The basic formula incorporates exchange rates and interest rates from both currencies:

PVDom=FXPVForPV_{Dom} = FX \cdot PV_{For}

Where:

  • PVDomPV_{Dom} is the present value in domestic currency
  • PVForPV_{For} is the present value in foreign currency
  • FXFX is the exchange rate

Market-making considerations

Market making in swaps requires consideration of:

  1. Bid-ask spreads to cover transaction costs
  2. Credit risk adjustments
  3. Funding costs and collateral requirements
  4. Regulatory capital charges

The final swap rate typically includes these adjustments to the theoretical price:

Rmarket=Rtheoretical+AdjustmentsR_{market} = R_{theoretical} + Adjustments

Risk adjustments

Several risk factors affect swap pricing:

Applications in derivatives markets

Swap pricing formulas are fundamental to:

  1. Derivatives pricing
  2. Risk management
  3. Market making
  4. Trading strategies

The accuracy of these formulas directly impacts:

  • Portfolio valuation
  • Risk assessment
  • Regulatory compliance
  • Trading profitability

Modern developments

Recent innovations include:

  1. Integration of machine learning for parameter estimation
  2. Real-time pricing adjustments based on market microstructure
  3. Enhanced risk factor modeling
  4. Blockchain-based pricing oracles

These developments have improved the accuracy and efficiency of swap pricing while maintaining the fundamental mathematical principles.

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