Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)

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SUMMARY

The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is a foundational theory in modern finance that describes the relationship between systematic risk and expected return for assets, particularly stocks. CAPM provides a theoretical framework for calculating the required rate of return for an asset based on its sensitivity to market risk (beta) and the market risk premium.

Understanding CAPM

The Capital Asset Pricing Model expresses the expected return of an asset as a function of the risk-free rate, the asset's correlation with market returns (beta), and the market risk premium. The model builds on portfolio optimization theory and introduces the concept of systematic and unsystematic risk.

The CAPM formula

The fundamental CAPM equation is:

E(Ri)=Rf+βi(E(Rm)Rf)E(R_i) = R_f + \beta_i(E(R_m) - R_f)

Where:

  • E(Ri)E(R_i) = Expected return of asset i
  • RfR_f = Risk-free rate
  • βi\beta_i = Beta of asset i
  • E(Rm)E(R_m) = Expected return of the market
  • (E(Rm)Rf)(E(R_m) - R_f) = Market risk premium

Next generation time-series database

QuestDB is an open-source time-series database optimized for market and heavy industry data. Built from scratch in Java and C++, it offers high-throughput ingestion and fast SQL queries with time-series extensions.

Beta calculation and interpretation

Beta (β\beta) measures an asset's sensitivity to market movements and is calculated as:

βi=Cov(Ri,Rm)Var(Rm)\beta_i = \frac{Cov(R_i, R_m)}{Var(R_m)}

Where:

  • Cov(Ri,Rm)Cov(R_i, R_m) = Covariance between asset returns and market returns
  • Var(Rm)Var(R_m) = Variance of market returns

Beta interpretation:

  • β > 1: Asset is more volatile than the market
  • β = 1: Asset moves in line with the market
  • β < 1: Asset is less volatile than the market
  • β = 0: Asset returns are uncorrelated with market returns

Next generation time-series database

QuestDB is an open-source time-series database optimized for market and heavy industry data. Built from scratch in Java and C++, it offers high-throughput ingestion and fast SQL queries with time-series extensions.

Market risk premium

The market risk premium (E(Rm)Rf)(E(R_m) - R_f) represents the additional return investors expect to earn for taking on market risk. This component is crucial for:

Applications in modern finance

Portfolio management

CAPM serves as a foundation for:

Risk assessment

The model helps quantify:

  • Systematic risk exposure
  • Required risk premiums
  • Cost of equity capital
  • Investment hurdle rates

Next generation time-series database

QuestDB is an open-source time-series database optimized for market and heavy industry data. Built from scratch in Java and C++, it offers high-throughput ingestion and fast SQL queries with time-series extensions.

Extensions and limitations

Modern adaptations

Key limitations

  1. Assumes perfect market conditions
  2. Single-period model
  3. Only considers systematic risk
  4. Linear risk-return relationship
  5. Static beta assumption

Integration with trading systems

Modern trading platforms incorporate CAPM in:

CAPM in quantitative analysis

Time-series implementation

# Beta calculation example
import numpy as np
def calculate_beta(asset_returns, market_returns):
covariance = np.cov(asset_returns, market_returns)[0][1]
market_variance = np.var(market_returns)
return covariance / market_variance

Risk decomposition

CAPM helps decompose total risk into:

  1. Systematic risk (market risk)
  2. Unsystematic risk (diversifiable risk)

This decomposition is crucial for:

  • Portfolio construction
  • Risk budgeting
  • Asset allocation decisions
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